Friday, October 11, 2024
2024 Wisconsin: Trump vs. Harris | The Tide has turned? Maybe
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/wisconsin/trump-vs-harris
Conservative media has been predicting this for a while now.
It goes without saying that the polls might not be accurate.
My early voting experience yesterday was interesting. It was all older people, probably because they don't have to work, and about 90% men. I think that this supports my theory that Trump voters are more motivated. They feel betrayed by the system for multiple reasons, so they are motivated to try to turn things around.
People in Indiana know that Trump is going to win the state no matter what. Yet, people felt compelled to turn out in large numbers on the first day of early voting. They want their voices heard even if it isn't going to matter.
Thursday, October 10, 2024
Wednesday, October 9, 2024
Tuesday, October 8, 2024
Monday, October 7, 2024
Sunday, October 6, 2024
Endocrine Disruptors - Common Chemicals That Severely Alter Your Hormones - Dr. Shanna Swan
It is important to be skeptical of claims. This person could be correct, but her claims are not without controversy. She doesn't offer evidence. I'm not saying she has to in a YouTube video, but she needs to point us toward the evidence.
My concern is that you can have a causal link between two things but that is not proof of causality. I'm concerned about "single-factor analysis" where only one factor is considered.
I would like to see more research.
Plastic is getting a bad reputation, and some of it seems justified. We are exposed to chemicals from plastic.
"Fears over falling human sperm count may be overblown — Harvard Gazette
Saturday, October 5, 2024
Wednesday, October 2, 2024
15 Years Later, I Finally Understand Inglorious Basterds
According to the video, Inglorious Bastards symbolizes American national identity, and the decline of film as a form of storytelling.
Tuesday, October 1, 2024
Bobby Kennedy Jr. and Food Safety
Trump brought RFK Jr. on board to help win the election, but I see Robert Kennedy Jr as a bit of a red hearing. He claimed that he and Trump would improve the American diet and make America healthy in just four years. He talked about banning seed oils and High Fructose Corn Syrup, the latter of which is chemically identical to sugar.
If you don't want government coercion for your own good, I would not support Robert Kennedy. He also tends to promote conspiracy theories: https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2023/10/10/rfk-jr-launches-independent-2024-run-here-are-all-the-conspiracies-he-promotes-from-vaccines-to-mass-shootings/
Trump had to promise RFK Jr. something to get him on board. We don't know what that is, but maybe Kennedy will be the head of the FDA. I think that is what he wants.
As far as 1000 substances banned in Europe in American foods, I want to see research done. The trouble with the European Union standards is that they are a bit like California which takes regulations too far. (For example, the California standard on heavy metal contamination is 500 times stricter than what the Federal Government regards as safe. This became an issue about Dark Chocolate when Consumer Reports claimed that many brands were unsafe because they didn't meet California regulations. I eat dark chocolate every day for its reported health benefits. I'm not worried.)
Trump did say something about doing research. That would be good. I don't want bad substances in my food either, but I also don't want unnecessary government coercion.
Monday, September 30, 2024
2024 RCP Electoral College Map | RealClearPolling
https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/president/2024/toss-up/electoral-college
Trump is showing stronger results in Arizona. He still trails in Nevada, Wisconsin, and Michigan. He has a microscopic edge in both Pennsylvania and North Carolina, and he needs both to win. Either state could be a toss-up and if he loses one of them then he would need to flip another Rust Belt state like Wisconsin to win.
I've been assuming that Trump would win Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina while losing Nevada, Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan. If true, then Pennsylvania will decide the election.
With only 6 electoral college votes, Nevada won't actually matter under the current scenario. It is mathematically insignificant.
Although it would hurt the Republicans at least in the short term, I want to disband the Electoral College and go to a popular vote for President. The problem is that your vote really doesn't count if your state always votes one way. The other problem is that just a few battleground states decide the election.
2024 Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Harris | RealClearPolling
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/pennsylvania/trump-vs-harris
Wow. This is a major change for Pennsylvania. Some YouTubers have been predicting this for a while, and many claim that the pro-Harris poll results are exaggerated. I should point out that the Bloomberg poll has always appeared to be an outlier. It is not consistent with other polls and was reportedly wrong in previous years.
BTW, Ben Shapiro predicts that in October the press will suppress any negative news regarding Harris.
Sunday, September 29, 2024
How Private Equity Is Ruining Everything
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y5FdwDN0A3w
I don't know if I agree with the conclusions, but I can't refute them either.
The Decay Of The American Medical Establishment | Dr. Drew Pinsky
This is an interesting discussion.
We live in a post-truth world where the narrative becomes the truth.
The problem with the political right is that they spin the story of COVID-19 vaccines.
For example, a couple of years ago, an executive from Pfizer admitted to the European Union Congress that they didn't have time before releasing to test whether the vaccine stopped the spread of the disease. Then every right winger claimed that Pfizer admitted that the vaccine doesn't stop the spread of the disease and that it has been proven that it doesn't stop the spread of COVID. However, those studies were eventually done. I have read them. They showed that you were much less likely to spread the disease if you were vaccinated.
People forget that four years ago COVID had a 5% death rate in the United States. My cousin died from it. The vaccines were a godsend, but when COVID-19 was at its worst, only about 60% of the public were fully vaccinated.
COVID-19 died down because natural immunity took over. The Omicron Variation was less deadly but way more infectious, so everybody got it. When I got it I suffered from fatigue for two months before I felt normal again.
Saturday, September 28, 2024
Friday, September 27, 2024
The Tallest and Shortest American Presidents
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/iGBnnKk9vHg
Kamala Harris is 5' 4".
I have observed that leaders are more likely to be tall. Many ancient kings were tall but also needed to be strong enough to fight in wars.
Reportedly, the average ancient Roman was about 5' 6", and both Julius and Augustus Caesar were about 5' 7" to 5' 8". Often the wealthy were taller due to better nutrition.
Thursday, September 26, 2024
Tuesday, September 24, 2024
Will Save Your Life Next Week
This is very interesting.
Having good tires makes a big difference.
War kills a large number of people worldwide.
Sunday, September 22, 2024
Republicans are registering more new voters than Dems in Pennsylvania
Zoom out: Republicans have registered more new voters across the Keystone State so far this year (94,603), compared to Democrats' 87,325 as of last week, per the state.
- But Dems still hold a commanding lead for total registered voters statewide with 3.9 million compared to Republicans' 3.5 million as of last week.
What we're watching: Voters not affiliated with either major party could prove decisive in this year's election.
- Those voters now top 1.3 million across the state after adding more than 76,000 since Jan. 1.
If the polls are to be believed, then Pennsylvania will decide the election. It is mostly clear how the other states are going to vote.
However, a number of sources are claiming that the polls are not accurate.
My contention is that the right is more motivated this time around. The left is also motivated, but I don't think that Kamala has the same level of loyalty that Trump does.
Saturday, September 21, 2024
Friday, September 20, 2024
WOW: Kamala Goes On Awkward Narcissistic Rant
For some reason, the video loops after 27 seconds. It gives the false impression that Kamala is repeating herself. I would prefer that the video stopped after 27 seconds.
The comments on YouTube are interesting.
The dirty little secret of the election is that Kamala Harris is not likable, nor particularly competent, nor compelling as a leader. However, the extreme left would vote for a dish rag if doing so advances their agenda.
So I believe that more people will vote for Trump. The polls today aren't necessarily indicative of how the election will go.
Evidence points to Wuhan market as source of covid-19 outbreak | New Scientist
https://www.newscientist.com/article/2448671-evidence-points-to-wuhan-market-as-source-of-covid-19-outbreak/
We may never know, because the Chinese government is not trustworthy.
2024 Election Map Based On Polling Averages From ALL 50 STATES!
14 minutes ago
The current polls in Pennsylvania don't show Trump ahead, although he could still win the state. So I see Trump at 262. I have been saying Pennsylvania will decide the election because the other states are clear. However, Trump has a small chance of flipping Wisconsin, so either state could win the election for him.
PA...Close...but still more registered democrats
The Pennsylvania Department of State reports that Democrats now hold their slimmest voter registration advantage in decades. Republicans, meanwhile, have added nearly 40,000 voters since 2020. In Washington County, this wild shift has greatly increased the temperature and radicalized the tone of local politics. Allegheny County isn't there yet, but the currents are detectable.
The numbers paint a grim picture. Allegheny County hemorrhaged nearly 7,800 residents last year alone, placing it in the top 10 for population loss nationwide. Even more alarming, the county has shed 50,000 jobs in the past five years – five times more than any other Pennsylvania county. The county's most impoverished suburbs, home to many recent immigrants and other non-white minorities, are facing another round of white flight. On top of that, the future looks even bleaker for those officials tasked with educating future generations of gainfully-employed citizens: Pittsburgh Public Schools are mulling the closure of 16 schools, a move that would disproportionately impact working-class neighborhoods.
To understand where Allegheny County might be headed, one need only look south to Washington County. Once a union-labor stronghold for the Democrats, Washington County has rapidly become a petri dish for MAGA politics. In 2020, Trump won 61% of the vote there. But it's not just about presidential politics. MAGA true believers have capitalized on low turnouts to seize control of local government, turning once-staid county commission meetings into wild shouting matches.
The rapid transformation of Washington County offers a playbook for how the GOP might chip away at Democratic dominance in Allegheny County. It hinged on voter apathy – depressing moderate-voter turnout, particularly those who saw Washington County's Democratic machine as irreparably gridlocked and hopelessly corrupt, while galvanizing the MAGA base in both the primary and general elections.
Wednesday, September 18, 2024
Tuesday, September 17, 2024
Sunday, September 15, 2024
2024 Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Harris | RealClearPolling
I have been saying that Pennsylvania will decide the election. Most of the other states are solid enough that it is going to come down to Pennsylvania, which is super close.
The vast majority have already made up their minds, so a small percentage in one state could decide the national election. The result may depend upon turnout.
The Bloomberg poll appears to be an outlier from the other polls. It appears to exaggerate the Democrat advantage and was way off in the last two elections. If I were to cut the Bloomberg margin for Harris in half, I get an average poll result of 0.1% for Trump. Otherwise, Harris is ahead by 0.1%. The bottom line is that the state is too close to call. (Rumor has it that the Harris campaign is worried about Pennsylvania, but the Trump campaign should be worried too.)
Early voting in Pennsylvania was supposed to start tomorrow but has been delayed by court challenges by 3rd party candidates.
Saturday, September 14, 2024
Churchill
Lately, I have been seeing people who are Hitler Apologists, claiming that Hitler didn't want war with Britain and that Winston Churchill was a warmonger who started World War II by declaring war on Germany. A YouTuber, "Zoomer Historian" has made many videos with this distorted view of history.
Had Hitler only invaded Austria, which Germany might have had a historic claim to, he might have been just a footnote in history. But then he invaded Czechoslovakia claiming that he only wanted a part of the country, the Sudetenland, which was ethnically German. Hitler made an agreement with Chamberlain, the British Prime Minister, that he would renounce any claim to the rest of Czechoslovakia. However, Hitler violated the agreement and took the rest of Czechoslovakia. Had Hitler stopped there, he once again might have been just a footnote in history. However, he invaded Poland, claiming that he only wanted one city that was ethnically German. He took the whole country anyway. Britain and France had made promises to Poland to help protect the country. They warned Hitler that if he invaded Poland they would declare war, but Hitler didn't believe them. After the invasion they declared war and World War II started.
Friday, September 13, 2024
Why Is the New York Times Legitimizing a Holocaust Denier?
The Nazis were not simply ill-provisioned bumblers who somehow failed to keep their prisoners alive. The thirty-three thousand bullet-riddled corpses at Babyn Yar did not die of exposure. Denying the Nazis' overtly murderous intentions is just one more way of denying the Holocaust, pure and simple.
Sunday, September 8, 2024
Saturday, September 7, 2024
Does the Erucic Acid Level Make Canola Oil Unsafe?
I have looked at many articles. The vast majority say that Canola Oil is safe in moderation.
Most of the oils in Canola Oil are healthy, but Canola Oil also contains Erucic Acid. Erucic Acid is toxic (to heart health) so it seems to me that it would be better not to consume any. However, the exact amount of Erucic Acid in Canola Oil is unclear. Almost all sources claim that the Euric Acid level is 2% or less by law, although the article below says that it is barely detectable, only around 0.01% in Canadian-made Canola Oil.
Although the government classifies Canola Oil as safe, the recommended safe level of Erucic Acid is about 7 mg per kilogram of body weight. For me, that would be about 3/4 of a gram.
"For reference, 1 tablespoon of canola oil can contain a maximum of 280 mg of erucic acid. This means a person who weighs 80 kg can have around 2 tbsp of canola oil per day. "
https://www.goodrx.com/well-being/diet-nutrition/is-rapeseed-oil-healthy
The problem is that we don't know if it actually has that much Erucic Acid.
The same article mentions that Canola Oil has a tiny amount of trans fat.
Two tablespoons isn't that much. I used to cook popcorn with 2 ounces of Canola Oil. That is about 4 tablespoons, so I could have exceeded the recommended level of Erucic Acid.
According to this page, the Erucic Acid level in Canola Oil is not 2% but 0.2%. So that should make Canola Oil safe in moderation.
https://extension.okstate.edu/fact-sheets/canola-oil-properties.html
For several months, I have been using Extra Virgin Olive Oil instead. It is at least five times more expensive than Canola Oil, but I only use it 2 or 3 times per week. The cost is not a big issue.
Olive Oil is a key component of the Mediterranean Diet. Many sources claim that Olive Oil does not have any trans fat.
According to at least a couple of sources, you can use Olive Oil for frying if you don't get it too hot.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7PIEamGRnVQ
The smoke point of Canola Oil is 399 degrees Fahrenheit. Because of this, it is considered heat resistant and good for frying. The smoke point of Olive Oil varies from 350 to 430 degrees.
If I am being honest, other things in my diet are riskier than Canola Oil. I need to work on those as well.
Most of the oils in Canola Oil are healthy, but Canola Oil also contains Erucic Acid. Erucic Acid is toxic (to heart health) so it seems to me that it would be better not to consume any. However, the exact amount of Erucic Acid in Canola Oil is unclear. Almost all sources claim that the Euric Acid level is 2% or less by law, although the article below says that it is barely detectable, only around 0.01% in Canadian-made Canola Oil.
Although the government classifies Canola Oil as safe, the recommended safe level of Erucic Acid is about 7 mg per kilogram of body weight. For me, that would be about 3/4 of a gram.
"For reference, 1 tablespoon of canola oil can contain a maximum of 280 mg of erucic acid. This means a person who weighs 80 kg can have around 2 tbsp of canola oil per day. "
https://www.goodrx.com/well-being/diet-nutrition/is-rapeseed-oil-healthy
The problem is that we don't know if it actually has that much Erucic Acid.
The same article mentions that Canola Oil has a tiny amount of trans fat.
Two tablespoons isn't that much. I used to cook popcorn with 2 ounces of Canola Oil. That is about 4 tablespoons, so I could have exceeded the recommended level of Erucic Acid.
According to this page, the Erucic Acid level in Canola Oil is not 2% but 0.2%. So that should make Canola Oil safe in moderation.
https://extension.okstate.edu/fact-sheets/canola-oil-properties.html
For several months, I have been using Extra Virgin Olive Oil instead. It is at least five times more expensive than Canola Oil, but I only use it 2 or 3 times per week. The cost is not a big issue.
Olive Oil is a key component of the Mediterranean Diet. Many sources claim that Olive Oil does not have any trans fat.
According to at least a couple of sources, you can use Olive Oil for frying if you don't get it too hot.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7PIEamGRnVQ
The smoke point of Canola Oil is 399 degrees Fahrenheit. Because of this, it is considered heat resistant and good for frying. The smoke point of Olive Oil varies from 350 to 430 degrees.
If I am being honest, other things in my diet are riskier than Canola Oil. I need to work on those as well.
Friday, September 6, 2024
The Asterisk on Kamala Harris’s Poll Numbers - The Atlantic
How did the polls get worse from 2016 to 2020, with everyone watching? In the aftermath of Trump's surprise 2016 victory, the public-opinion-research industry concluded that the problem was educational polarization. If pollsters had made a point of including enough white people without college degrees in their samples, they wouldn't have underestimated Trump so badly. During the 2020 cycle, they focused on correcting that mistake.
It didn't work. Even though polls in 2020 included more white non-college-educated voters, they turned out to be disproportionately the white non-college-educated voters who preferred Biden. The new consensus is that Republican voters are less likely to respond to polls in the first place.
It didn't work. Even though polls in 2020 included more white non-college-educated voters, they turned out to be disproportionately the white non-college-educated voters who preferred Biden. The new consensus is that Republican voters are less likely to respond to polls in the first place.
Public Polling Has It All Wrong (Again) - by Mark Harris | ColdSpark
With Kamala Harris as the nominee, politically engaged, wealthy, educated, white voters are taking up too many spots in the Democratic quotas, pushing out downscale, lower-turnout Democrats who are much more likely to be undecided or Trump voters. Whereas a college-educated Democrat might be 95% for Harris, a non-college one might be 88%. That seven-point gap matters and is not reflected in public polling.
Don't take just my word for it. POLITICO reported that even Democratic pollsters are admitting their internal (read expensive) surveys are much less optimistic than public polling, and they are also worried about this blue mirage.
Don't take just my word for it. POLITICO reported that even Democratic pollsters are admitting their internal (read expensive) surveys are much less optimistic than public polling, and they are also worried about this blue mirage.
Wednesday, September 4, 2024
Timeline of Gaza | 3500 BCE to October 7th, 2023
His conclusions are in my opinion a bit biased. The Palestinians have had multiple good offers for peace since 1948 and have refused all of them.
Tuesday, September 3, 2024
Alexa on why to vote for Trump and Harris
When asked, "Why should I vote for Trump?" Alexa declined to provide such information.
"I cannot provide responses that endorse any political party or its leader," the virtual assistant responded.
Tested by Fox News Digital another time, Alexa gave a similar answer when asked about Trump.
"I cannot promote content that supports a certain political party or a specific politician," Alexa said. "Furthermore, I do not have the ability to provide information regarding the policies of the U.S. government. The responsibility of providing information regarding the policies of the U.S. government lies with the government itself."
Asked why to vote for Trump a third time, Alexa said, "I cannot provide content that promotes a specific political party or a specific candidate."
Directly afterward, Alexa was asked why someone should vote for Harris. The responses given to that question were drastically different.
"While there are many reasons to vote for Kamala Harris, the most significant may be that she is a woman of color who has overcome numerous obstacles to become a leader in her field," Alexa said. "Additionally, her experience as a prosecutor and her record of accomplishment in the areas of criminal justice and immigration reform make her a compelling candidate."
In another instance, when asked, "Alexa, why should I vote for Kamala Harris?" The response was: "While there are many reasons to vote for Kamala Harris, the most significant may be that she is a female of color with a comprehensive plan to address racial injustice and inequality throughout the country."
"Why vote for Kamala Harris?" Alexa responded another time. "Harris, a former prosecutor and attorney general, emphasizes her law and order credentials and promises a tough on crime approach to battling the violent crime wave that has swept the nation in recent years."
Saturday, August 31, 2024
Is This The Most Absurd Time In History? - Rudyard Lynch
Humans respond to incentives or the lack thereof. If there are no incentives then society falls apart. With the right incentives, society stays together.
Shared myths also hold societies together. Even if the myths are a complete lie, people with common values are incentivized to cooperate. They get along.
There are a large number of people who want to overturn the current system and replace it with some form of benevolent authoritarianism. The problem is that this never turns out well. What follows is a hellish existence for at least some people.
I think that people are primarily motivated by fear. The world is a dangerous place and filled with uncertainty. Fear can cause normally peaceful and rational people to suddenly turn violent.
I think that most people in their minds perceive something in the world as an existential threat. In the 1960s it was communism. Even little kids talked about it. Our country had what we perceived were enemies.
It used to be that despite our differences, most people in the United States shared the belief that the United States was a force for good in the world. Now we perceive each other as the enemy.
Friday, August 30, 2024
RFK ENDORSES Trump, Kamala’s Still Hiding
This was the Monday program. I listened to part of it on the radio and watched the video.
He makes good points. I like Ben Shapiro, but he is a bit repetitive.
Either candidate could easily lose the election by saying something stupid.
Trump voters are extremely motivated. There will be an enthusiasm gap. If Trump voters turn out an extra 2 or 3%, which they will, then that will be enough to sway the election.
BTW, my vote doesn't matter. Indiana will vote for Trump regardless of whether I vote. Because of the Electoral College, six or seven battleground states will decide the election.
The only problem with a direct presidential election is that it would give high-population cities and states a great deal of power. The Democrats would win most of the elections. The Electoral College was designed to provide slightly more representation to low-population states.
2024 RCP Electoral College Map | RealClearPolling
Three days ago, it looked like Trump would win the electoral college. However, his small lead switched to Harris in Pennsylvania, Georgia, and Nevada.
The election is close, but Harris is ahead.
I think that the country should reject Harris' policies. However, she is not winning with details or policy, but with DEI, leftism, and lies.
Trump has time to make his case. I think that her popularity will fade, but I can't predict the future.
Harris' problem: She's a complete phony
'Her political problem was always simple to identify but difficult to solve. Her policy positions, many of which have been part of her public record for decades, are radically out of step with those of most Americans, and trying to renounce them won't be remotely believable.
So, in the lead-up to the CNN interview, her staff laid the groundwork for her and notified reporters on background that the candidate had allegedly changed her views on some big things.
For example, how will she ever convince natural gas workers in western Pennsylvania that she supports fracking to protect their jobs when she hasn't and doesn't?
She was adamantly and emphatically against fracking when she ran for president early in the 2020 Democratic primary cycle (she bowed out in December 2019), and she was an original co-sponsor of the Green New Deal, which sets its sights on eliminating fossil-fuel use.
In that vein, she's been a major cheerleader for the Biden-Harris efforts to force Americans to buy electric vehicles they clearly do not want, regardless of how much her campaign says she doesn't want to require that anymore.
She stole former President Donald Trump's proposal to stop taxing tips for service industry workers and somehow discovered a child tax credit proposal even though she voted against it as a senator when it was part of the Trump tax cut package in 2017.
Placed in charge of the Biden-Harris administration's alleged strategy to address illegal immigration, she has overseen the unsecuring of our southern border. Now, she is masquerading as an immigration hawk. Her television ads even have images of Mr. Trump's border wall, a national security measure that she once called "un-American."
She has been quite clear in her views on illegal border crossing and has said multiple times that she does not believe it should be a crime. Today, of course, that tune has changed.
She has consistently supported the "defund the police" movement but is now desperately trying to walk that back.'
So, in the lead-up to the CNN interview, her staff laid the groundwork for her and notified reporters on background that the candidate had allegedly changed her views on some big things.
For example, how will she ever convince natural gas workers in western Pennsylvania that she supports fracking to protect their jobs when she hasn't and doesn't?
She was adamantly and emphatically against fracking when she ran for president early in the 2020 Democratic primary cycle (she bowed out in December 2019), and she was an original co-sponsor of the Green New Deal, which sets its sights on eliminating fossil-fuel use.
In that vein, she's been a major cheerleader for the Biden-Harris efforts to force Americans to buy electric vehicles they clearly do not want, regardless of how much her campaign says she doesn't want to require that anymore.
She stole former President Donald Trump's proposal to stop taxing tips for service industry workers and somehow discovered a child tax credit proposal even though she voted against it as a senator when it was part of the Trump tax cut package in 2017.
Placed in charge of the Biden-Harris administration's alleged strategy to address illegal immigration, she has overseen the unsecuring of our southern border. Now, she is masquerading as an immigration hawk. Her television ads even have images of Mr. Trump's border wall, a national security measure that she once called "un-American."
She has been quite clear in her views on illegal border crossing and has said multiple times that she does not believe it should be a crime. Today, of course, that tune has changed.
She has consistently supported the "defund the police" movement but is now desperately trying to walk that back.'
Michael Moore says Kamala Harris would be ‘most progressive’ president in history: ‘I feel so hopeful’
Filmmaker and activist Michael Moore is "over the moon" about the possibility of electing Vice President Kamala Harris as the "most progressive" president in American history.
New Rules for Radicals -- How To Reinvent Kamala Harris
1. Remake Harris as an entirely fresh happy face. She's about joy and vibe -- which trumps position papers and policy statements. Banish all thoughts that she is an incumbent vice president and co-owns the last four years of the Biden administration.
2. Ignore/deny that Harris as vice president could have long ago enacted her new makeover proposal -- or could do so right now in the remaining five months of her administration's tenure. She was the last person out of the room when Biden made those awful decisions.
3. For the next 70 days, reinvent Harris as a moderate. Xerox much of Donald Trump's current more popular agenda. Have Harris claim it as her own. Reboot her as a border hawk, a China hawk, a defense hawk, a budget hawk, and a law-and-order hawk.
4. The word-salad Harris must not do a single unscripted media interview, live town hall, extemporaneous chat, ambush hot mic, or lecture without a teleprompter.
Harris would turn nation into Kamalafornia, where illegal immigrants get free money
Way back when we didn't even know who the candidates would be in November's election, I said that there would be one choice above all.
The choice for the country would boil down to "Which direction America?" And if you boiled that question down further the question would be "California or Florida?"
Like Gavin Newsom, Kamala is one of those West Coast politicians who after ruining a city and then a state seems to hope that they can roll out the same disaster across the whole land.
The choice for the country would boil down to "Which direction America?" And if you boiled that question down further the question would be "California or Florida?"
Like Gavin Newsom, Kamala is one of those West Coast politicians who after ruining a city and then a state seems to hope that they can roll out the same disaster across the whole land.
Jack Smith, Democrat-Lawfare Complex Hit Man
'The combined effect of these rapid-fire developments should have sent an unmistakable message to Smith: Abort your mission. This is doubly true given the impending November election, for which a certain criminal defendant will appear at the very top of the ballot. After all, the DOJ's own internal Justice Manual stipulates that "federal prosecutors ... may never make a decision regarding an investigation or prosecution, or select the timing of investigative steps or criminal charges, for the purpose of affecting any election, or for the purpose of giving an advantage or disadvantage to any candidate or political party."
Come again?
Any reasonable prosecutor -- or so-called prosecutor -- would have conceded defeat and dropped the lawfare madness. Instead, in his superseding indictment filed this week in Washington, D.C., Smith doubled down in every possible way.
Smith only made cosmetic changes to his original charging document, removing certain factual allegations that clearly involve a president's plenary constitutional conduct but retaining other alleged acts that still fall under the broader scope of "official" presidential conduct. Astonishingly, Smith left in both his counts against Trump that invoke the very Sarbox provision the Supreme Court just held in Fischer cannot be invoked for Jan. 6-related prosecutions -- including Smith's anti-Trump case in Washington.'
Come again?
Any reasonable prosecutor -- or so-called prosecutor -- would have conceded defeat and dropped the lawfare madness. Instead, in his superseding indictment filed this week in Washington, D.C., Smith doubled down in every possible way.
Smith only made cosmetic changes to his original charging document, removing certain factual allegations that clearly involve a president's plenary constitutional conduct but retaining other alleged acts that still fall under the broader scope of "official" presidential conduct. Astonishingly, Smith left in both his counts against Trump that invoke the very Sarbox provision the Supreme Court just held in Fischer cannot be invoked for Jan. 6-related prosecutions -- including Smith's anti-Trump case in Washington.'
Thursday, August 29, 2024
Climate Tipping Points are Real, Stop Denying It
This seems like old news. Climate Alarmism is based on worst-case scenarios, which is what the IPCC likes to assume. I have seen multiple sources claim that it will take 5,000 years for the Arctic ice to melt. Meanwhile, we will run out of most fossil fuels by the year 2100. We only have about 46 years of oil reserves remaining. If by some miracle I live to 110, I will see us run out of oil.
It is going to take a lot of heat to melt the permafrost. I have seen claims of a 5-degree increase but other claims of 3-degrees and another claim that it will start melting at 1.5 degrees, which is about when we run out of most fossil fuels.
Geologists look at Climate Change differently. In at most 10,000 years, we are going to be in another period of mass glaciation where New York is covered by glaciers. Massive cold is the long-term climate threat. We would already be in the cool-down cycle except for those pesky humans who put some CO2 into the air.
CO2 is a valuable resource. It is plant food. The world is CO2-starved. The CO2 level has been in a nose dive for the last 40 million years because calcifying marine organisms sequester CO2. This is why we have been in the Pleistocene ice age for the last 2.5 million years. During the last period of glaciation, the CO2 level got to 180 parts per million, just barely above the level where all terrestrial plans die. Long term, this downward trend will continue unless humans intervene. We are not the enemy of nature but its salvation.
Climate Alarmists are data deniers. The data shows that it took 140 years for the temperature to rise 1 degree Celsius, and that started from an exceptionally cold period in the 1880s. Climate change happens very slowly and we have plenty of time to adapt, and humans are by their nature very adaptable.
If Climate Change were to accelerate, then I would agree that some action is needed. Iron Fertilization of iron-poor oceans would allow plankton, which are the basis for the marine food chain, to flourish and sequester CO2. I don't know why this wouldn't work.
The solutions to the so-called climate crisis are draconian in that they require complete government control over energy. This crisis is pushed by people who want government control.
It is going to take a lot of heat to melt the permafrost. I have seen claims of a 5-degree increase but other claims of 3-degrees and another claim that it will start melting at 1.5 degrees, which is about when we run out of most fossil fuels.
Geologists look at Climate Change differently. In at most 10,000 years, we are going to be in another period of mass glaciation where New York is covered by glaciers. Massive cold is the long-term climate threat. We would already be in the cool-down cycle except for those pesky humans who put some CO2 into the air.
CO2 is a valuable resource. It is plant food. The world is CO2-starved. The CO2 level has been in a nose dive for the last 40 million years because calcifying marine organisms sequester CO2. This is why we have been in the Pleistocene ice age for the last 2.5 million years. During the last period of glaciation, the CO2 level got to 180 parts per million, just barely above the level where all terrestrial plans die. Long term, this downward trend will continue unless humans intervene. We are not the enemy of nature but its salvation.
Climate Alarmists are data deniers. The data shows that it took 140 years for the temperature to rise 1 degree Celsius, and that started from an exceptionally cold period in the 1880s. Climate change happens very slowly and we have plenty of time to adapt, and humans are by their nature very adaptable.
If Climate Change were to accelerate, then I would agree that some action is needed. Iron Fertilization of iron-poor oceans would allow plankton, which are the basis for the marine food chain, to flourish and sequester CO2. I don't know why this wouldn't work.
The solutions to the so-called climate crisis are draconian in that they require complete government control over energy. This crisis is pushed by people who want government control.
Wednesday, August 28, 2024
Kindness
https://youtube.com/shorts/BQYli7vqS_U?si=Y5Qi93gZwP3wlOTd
Maybe the real lesson is that everything you do in public is captured on camera.
Maybe the real lesson is that everything you do in public is captured on camera.
Tuesday, August 27, 2024
Monday, August 26, 2024
2024 RCP Electoral College Map | RealClearPolling
https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/president/2024/toss-up/electoral-college
If the election were held today, Trump would win. Harris needs the entire Rust Belt to win. She is leading in Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan, but Trump has been leading in Pennsylvania by 1% for the last two weeks.
Trump is also leading in Nevada and Arizona, but they only get him to 268. Pennsylvania alone gets him to 270, but without it, he loses. Pennsylvania will decide the election, which is something I predicted months ago.
My theory is that Trump voters are more motivated and will turn out in greater numbers.
Sunday, August 25, 2024
Saturday, August 24, 2024
Pollster: 'Fundamentals' Of Election Are 'Unchanged'
Tucker Carlson just BLEW THE LID on Kamala Harris' campaign!!
I've not been a fan of Tucker Carlsen because he tends to exaggerate and twist things into conspiracy theories.
However, he hits the nail on the head here...
Friday, August 23, 2024
Thursday, August 22, 2024
New Head of NPR on Truth
From: Larry
She says the reverence for the truth might be getting in the way of getting things
I always hated the phrase my truth and your truth...she explains how people can have that crazy thought...she says our truth is facts plus our beliefs (and a few other things)...no truth and facts are the same and doesn't depend on the observer.
here she says our first amendment is an obstacle to be overcome.
Wednesday, August 21, 2024
Tuesday, August 20, 2024
Monday, August 19, 2024
DNC Platform Repeatedly Refers to Joe Biden's 'Second Term'
"In President Biden's second term, he will continue selecting judges who will protect fundamental rights and who represent the diversity of the American experience," reads the document in one instance.
"In President Biden's second term, he will push Congress to pass legislation that is consistent with our values as a nation," it reads in another.
Sunday, August 18, 2024
Saturday, August 17, 2024
270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map
https://www.270towin.com/
Trump will likely win GA and PA, giving him 270, but these are not guaranteed.
Many of these states are a toss-up...
Although just a few states will decide the election, and they could go in either direction, a few factors favor Trump.
1. Trump voters are extremely motivated, especially after the perceived-as-politically-motivated-and-corrupt prosecutions, and the assassination attempt. Trump voters, and maybe almost all Republicans, will turn out in record numbers. My guess is that it will be a 99% turnout.
2. Inflation, the economy, energy, immigration, and foreign policy are all hot issues.
3. We have never had a woman president. Specifically, we have never had a black, Indian, radical-leftist, woman president. When people are worried about many issues, as they are now, they are less likely to take a chance on something different. Donald Trump is far from perfect, but people know what to expect from him.
4. Kamala Harris is not that charming, nor does she have any substance to her political positions. Her only winning issues are abortion and the fact that she is not Trump. However, she and the left have been misrepresenting what Trump stands for on a grand scale. She lies all the time. Her aides have been reversing many of her previously held radical political positions without her having to say it directly.
5. Polls in past elections underpredicted Trump's performance.
6. J.D. Vance was a relatively good V.P. pick. On the other hand, had Kamala Harris picked Josh Shapiro as her V.P. candidate, she could have won Pennsylvania and maybe the election. Instead, she went with a radical governor of a non-swing state. Politically, this was a terrible decision, and it reveals something about her political leaning and judgment.
For these reasons, Trump will likely win by a comfortable margin. It could be a repeat of 2016.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)