https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/president/2024/toss-up/electoral-college
Trump is showing stronger results in Arizona. He still trails in Nevada, Wisconsin, and Michigan. He has a microscopic edge in both Pennsylvania and North Carolina, and he needs both to win. Either state could be a toss-up and if he loses one of them then he would need to flip another Rust Belt state like Wisconsin to win.
I've been assuming that Trump would win Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina while losing Nevada, Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan. If true, then Pennsylvania will decide the election.
With only 6 electoral college votes, Nevada won't actually matter under the current scenario. It is mathematically insignificant.
Although it would hurt the Republicans at least in the short term, I want to disband the Electoral College and go to a popular vote for President. The problem is that your vote really doesn't count if your state always votes one way. The other problem is that just a few battleground states decide the election.
No comments:
Post a Comment