'One might have thought that, by now, the president and his advisers would be chastened by experience. Al Qaeda is "on a path to defeat" (2012). Bashar Assad's "days are numbered" (2011). "If you like your current insurance, you can keep that insurance. Period, end of story" (2009). Russia and the U.S. "are not simply resetting our relationship but also broadening it" (2010). Yemen is an example of a counterterrorist strategy "we have successfully pursued . . . for years" (2014).'