https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/president/2024/toss-up/electoral-college
If the election were held today, Trump would win. Harris needs the entire Rust Belt to win. She is leading in Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan, but Trump has been leading in Pennsylvania by 1% for the last two weeks.
Trump is also leading in Nevada and Arizona, but they only get him to 268. Pennsylvania alone gets him to 270, but without it, he loses. Pennsylvania will decide the election, which is something I predicted months ago.
My theory is that Trump voters are more motivated and will turn out in greater numbers.
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