https://www.270towin.com/
Trump will likely win GA and PA, giving him 270, but these are not guaranteed.
Many of these states are a toss-up...
Although just a few states will decide the election, and they could go in either direction, a few factors favor Trump.
1. Trump voters are extremely motivated, especially after the perceived-as-politically-motivated-and-corrupt prosecutions, and the assassination attempt. Trump voters, and maybe almost all Republicans, will turn out in record numbers. My guess is that it will be a 99% turnout.
2. Inflation, the economy, energy, immigration, and foreign policy are all hot issues.
3. We have never had a woman president. Specifically, we have never had a black, Indian, radical-leftist, woman president. When people are worried about many issues, as they are now, they are less likely to take a chance on something different. Donald Trump is far from perfect, but people know what to expect from him.
4. Kamala Harris is not that charming, nor does she have any substance to her political positions. Her only winning issues are abortion and the fact that she is not Trump. However, she and the left have been misrepresenting what Trump stands for on a grand scale. She lies all the time. Her aides have been reversing many of her previously held radical political positions without her having to say it directly.
5. Polls in past elections underpredicted Trump's performance.
6. J.D. Vance was a relatively good V.P. pick. On the other hand, had Kamala Harris picked Josh Shapiro as her V.P. candidate, she could have won Pennsylvania and maybe the election. Instead, she went with a radical governor of a non-swing state. Politically, this was a terrible decision, and it reveals something about her political leaning and judgment.
For these reasons, Trump will likely win by a comfortable margin. It could be a repeat of 2016.
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