Friday, April 28, 2023

Fwd: head of largest hedge fund says we're on the edge of war and unable to talk to China

After American billionaire Ray Dalio returned from his China trip with grim warnings, policy experts are chiming in on "the scale of the threat" the Communist Chinese Party poses to national security.

Through his LinkedIn profile, Dalio published an article focusing on the "great power conflict" and what's going on with China. He claimed the piece is informed by two recent visits to Beijing where he spent a total of 13 days

"The United States and China are on the brink of war and are beyond the ability to talk," Dalio wrote. "I want to emphasize that by saying that they are on the brink, I don't mean to say that they will necessarily go over the brink. I mean to say that they are very close to crossing red lines that, if crossed, will irrevocably push them over the brink into some type of war that damages these two countries and causes damage to the world order in severe and irrevocable ways—like Russia's invasion of Ukraine did for Russia and the world, just much bigger."

Dalio founded the world's largest hedge fund firm which manages $124 billion, according to Forbes. The billionaire has been criticized for his financial exposure to the Chinese government. In 2021, Dalio equated human rights abuses in China to racism in America, and rhetorically asked whether or not he should still be investing in the United States.

American Enterprise Institute senior fellow Zack Cooper disagreed with Dalio's assessment on "Mornings with Maria" Friday, claiming the billionaire's comments don't line up with information from U.S. officials.

"I just don't think he's right. I actually think that what we've seen, as U.S. officials say recently, including the head of the Indo-Pacific command, that, yes, we have to be worried about a conflict, but that they don't see what's happening in the near term," Cooper said. "There's no reason to think we're on the brink of war right now."

However, other expert analysis has corroborated Dalio's warning of looming conflict, including Atlas Organization founder Gordon Chang who argued war could "very well" break out before 2025.

"When you have China engaging in dangerous intercepts of the U.S. and other militaries in the region, anything can happen. And we have a military that is not prepared to deal with the probable scenarios," Chang previously told host Maria Bartiromo. "General Mike Minahan on that January 27th leaked memo talked about war with China in 2025… Well, it could very well be before that."

Though Cooper further expressed doubt that there's a firm timeline for any U.S.-China conflict, he said Dalio's concerns are likely not about American defenses

"I think what Dalio's probably worried about is that there are going to be restrictions on U.S. investors that are putting money into China, especially into areas that have dual-use implications that could go into high-end computing, that could eventually help the Chinese military," Cooper said.

"And I think there is going to be real restrictions coming out of both the White House and Congress that will affect investors like Dalio.

Tuesday, April 18, 2023

Chinese Lab Developed COVID-19 Virus, Senate Report Claims

Chinese Lab Developed COVID-19 Virus, Senate Report Claims:

Just to be clear, I have no idea where the virus came from.   If I had to guess, then it seems likely that the virus came from a lab.

I hope that the evidence becomes more clear so that we definitively can say how this happened. 

I'm not particularly fond of The Epoch Times.  I have a short-term promotional subscription.

Murder and the weapon used

---------- Forwarded message ---------
From: Larry 

Most of the facts about crime in America don't fit that narrative. According to the FBI, in 2021 there were about 23,000 homicides in the country and, based on data from 2019, about 54 percent of U.S. murder victims are black people, most of whom are killed by other black people. It is impossible to discuss violent crime in America without acknowledging that at least half of it involves black people, both as victims and perpetrators, despite the fact that blacks are only 14 percent of the U.S. population.

According to the FBI, there were only 403 murders in 2017 in which the weapon used was a rifle of any kind, compared to 7,032 committed with handguns. In fact, more people were murdered with "blunt objects" (clubs, hammers, etc., accounting for 467 victims) and "personal weapons" (hands, fists, feet, etc., with 692 victims) than were killed by rifles.

We live in a nation where more than a thousand people a year are beaten to death with fists, hammers, etc., and you might imagine that at least one of these blunt-force murders would merit attention from the national media, but instead they are ignored, just like the 1,500 or so people stabbed to death in America every year. And why are these brutal crimes ignored? Because the media wish their audience to think of the crime problem as a gun problem, for which the solution is to elect Democrats who will enact stricter gun-control laws.

Saturday, April 15, 2023

Star Trek Picard's Queer Problem

In response to:

I wrote:

I watch this channel because of the intelligence of the content.

I think that it is quite possible that there is a political metaphor in the show and I find this perspective and video interesting.  I think that you might be right, but it might also be reading too much into the story.

I am okay with people living their lives how they want.  I believe in freedom, as long as that doesn't interfere with the rights of others.  This is where things get awkward because the Woke movement has become coercive.  Jordan Peterson objected to mandatory speech codes and had his livelihood threatened twice and told that he must attend retraining to keep his license.  The Woke movement has been an attack on free speech.  In England, people have been arrested and fined for what is considered improper speech.

I have refused to call a man by his preferred pronouns because I believe that would be a lie.  Nobody should be able to force me to lie and violate my beliefs.  The actress Gina Carano, who I very much liked in The Mandalorian, had her career ruined over this same issue.  Lucasfilm canceled the series that she was going to star in, a series that I was looking forward to watching, fired her, and the agency that represented her dropped her contract.  I feel that this is grossly unjust that the mob can attack someone and ruin their life over a political disagreement.

I do not agree that a man can become a woman, nor do I think that it is proper to transition children, but I don't in any way resent or disagree with adults having the freedom to live their lives the way that they want.

Best wishes,

John Coffey

Wednesday, April 12, 2023

Analysis of Transgender Rights Debate | Dylan Mulvaney and Bud Light Controversy

This issue becoming controversial now is not a happenstance.  The Marxist left is on a divide-and-conquer campaign.   Their strategy is to do something outrageous and then attack anyone who objects.  It has quite frankly been one damn thing after another, but the result and the goal are to beat the opposition into submission

Analysis of Transgender Rights Debate | Dylan Mulvaney and Bud Light Controversy

What’s next for COVID-19 vaccines? Scientists and regulators chart a course amid uncertainty | Science | AAAS

A case of fatal multi-organ inflammation following COVID-19 vaccination - PMC

"1. Introduction
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines are available worldwide. Since their introduction, post-vaccination deaths have been reported, and their association with the vaccine has been forensically examined [1], [2]. Post-vaccination myocarditis and pericarditis have been increasingly reported, with male adolescents reported to have a higher incidence of pericarditis with a good prognosis, while middle-aged and older patients are more likely to have severe myocarditis. In this study, we report an autopsy case of a 14-year-old girl who died unexpectedly 2 days after receiving the third dose of BNT1262b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine.

2.4. Diagnosis

A diagnosis of vaccine-related multiple-organ inflammation was made based on the absence of bacterial or viral infection, lack of a past medical history suggestive of autoimmune disease, no allergic reaction, and no drug exposure other than the vaccine. Myopericarditis is a form of multiple-organ inflammation. Although pneumonia is involved, pneumonia alone is rarely a cause of sudden death, and the presence of erythrocyte-laden macrophages as well as congestive edema of the lungs on histology suggested signs of heart failure

3.1. Death after COVID-19 vaccination:

Vaccine development and its widespread application are key elements in the fight against the COVID-19 pandemic. The COVID-19 vaccine is now used worldwide and has contributed to the containment of the pandemic. However, adverse events caused by vaccines have been a problem. A forensic examination for the evaluation of the association between vaccination and death was conducted in cases of post-vaccination deaths [1], [2], [4]. The majority of these cases were negatively associated with vaccination; however, anaphylaxis, vaccine-induced immunothrombotic thrombocytopenia, myocarditis, and pericarditis have all been listed as having a suspected association with vaccination and vaccination-related death [2], [4]. Murata et al. also reported four cases of death after vaccination, in which the only autopsy findings were organ congestion with no evidence of myocarditis. RNA analysis of the blood showed that neutrophil degranulation and cytokine signaling were upregulated in the control group, which led them to conclude that the deaths were due to cytokine storm

3.2. Myocarditis and pericarditis after COVID-19 vaccination

Reports of myocarditis and pericarditis after COVID-19 vaccination have increased since the report by Albert et al. [6]. The frequency of occurrence of myocarditis and pericarditis has been reported in a US military survey including 23 cases of myocarditis/2,800,000 persons with a mean age of 25 years, all males, and no deaths [7]. A total of 40 U.S. hospitals reported 20 cases/2,000,287 with myocarditis and 37 cases/2,000,287 with pericarditis; both groups showed male predilection, mean age of onset of 36 years for myocarditis and 59 years for pericarditis, and no deaths in either group [8]. The Nordic cohort study reported that myocarditis occurred in 1,077/23,122,522 patients and pericarditis in 1,149/23,122,522 patients; both were more common in young men aged 16–24 years and most commonly occurred after the second vaccination [9]. Thus, post-vaccination myocarditis and pericarditis had incidence rates of 0.0008–0.0047% and 0.0019–0.0050%, respectively. Although usually mild, these conditions can occur; however, severe cases resulting in death are rare. As of September 2022, the number of COVID-19 vaccine recipients in Japan was approximately 103 million for the second dose and 82 million for the third dose [10]. Based on the above report, at least 800 cases of myocarditis and approximately 1,500 cases of pericarditis occurred after vaccination in Japan. Since the incidence of myocarditis and pericarditis is reported to be higher with second dose of the vaccine than with first dose [11], third dose of the vaccine are likely to further increase the frequency of occurrence of the disease.

The mechanism by which the COVID-19 vaccine causes myocarditis and pericarditis is unclear; however, several hypotheses have been proposed. The mRNA vaccine results in modifications to the nucleoside to reduce its antigenicity. In some individuals, mRNA is recognized as an antigen, resulting in the activation of the inflammatory cascades and immune pathways; in such cases, myocarditis occurs as part of a systemic inflammatory response"

The numbers show a fairly low risk of side effects from the vaccine, with death being rare.  The vaccine is not without risk, but based on what I have read, the disease is about a thousand times more likely to cause the same problems.   In the risk versus benefit analysis, you are better off with the vaccine.  

However, the pandemic is almost over.  I don't know what will happen if people stop getting vaccinated, but given the small risk from vaccination, many people may choose not to get it.

Saturday, April 8, 2023

Chat GPT Rush Limbaugh on the trans movement
Write an article in the style of Rush Limbaugh against the trans movement

(Note: As an AI language model, I do not endorse any political or social views. The following article is a hypothetical writing prompt and does not reflect my personal beliefs or opinions.)

Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the Rush Limbaugh Show. Today, I want to talk about a subject that has been making headlines lately: the so-called "trans movement." I believe this movement is a dangerous threat to our society, and I want to explain why.

First of all, let's be clear about what we're talking about. The trans movement is a collection of people who claim that their gender identity doesn't match their biological sex. They demand that we accept them as the gender they identify as, regardless of their biology.

Now, I know that some people will say that this is a matter of tolerance and acceptance. They'll say that we should be kind to people who are struggling with their gender identity. But let me tell you something: this is not about kindness or tolerance. This is about a radical ideology that seeks to undermine the very foundation of our society.

The fact is, the trans movement is based on a lie. There is no scientific basis for the idea that people can be born in the wrong body. It is a purely ideological construct, designed to push a political agenda.

And what is that agenda, you ask? Well, it's quite simple: the trans movement seeks to erase the very concept of gender. They want to tell us that there is no such thing as male or female, that gender is a social construct that can be changed at will. This is not only absurd, it's dangerous.

You see, gender is not just some arbitrary label that we attach to people. It is a fundamental aspect of our biology and our social organization. Men and women are different in many ways, and these differences are not just superficial. They have profound implications for our lives, our families, and our society.

By erasing the concept of gender, the trans movement seeks to undermine the traditional family structure. They want to tell us that men can be mothers and women can be fathers, that there is no difference between the sexes. This is a direct assault on the values that have made our society great.

But it's not just about the family. The trans movement also seeks to undermine the very idea of biological sex. They want to tell us that we can't trust our own bodies, that our biology is irrelevant. This is a dangerous and anti-science idea, and it will have disastrous consequences if we allow it to take hold.

So, ladies and gentlemen, let me be clear: the trans movement is not about tolerance or acceptance. It is a radical ideology that seeks to undermine the very foundations of our society. We must reject it, and we must defend the concepts of gender and biological sex that have served us so well for centuries. Thank you for tuning in, and God bless America.